{
  "id": 19860964,
  "title": "The Chances of a Federal Reserve December Rate Hike Are Climbing. Here’s What History Says About Stocks After the Fed Starts Raising Again.",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/11/13/the-chances-of-a-federal-reserve-december-rate-hike-are-climbing",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-11-13T20:00:02.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Motley Fool",
    "slug": "motley-fool",
    "url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/11/13/the-chances-of-a-december-rate-hike-are-climbing-heres-what-history-says/?source=iedfolrf0000001"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Federal Reserve officials are increasingly likely to raise interest rates at their December meeting, following a pause in September. Inflation remains high while the labor market stays robust, providing the central bank with flexibility. However, higher rates could negatively impact stocks. Historically, when the Federal Reserve starts a rate-hiking cycle, the S&P 500 tends to experience a decline in its first year, with an average drawdown of about 12%. The 12-month return is also lower, averaging between 10.5% and 11.5%. While a slow or non-tightening cycle may not significantly harm the market's overall performance, an extended fast cycle could lead to prolonged losses. Nevertheless, investors should not abandon stocks entirely. Higher rates also affect bond prices, so it's essential to consider the current economic environment and the potential impact on individual stocks before making investment decisions.",
  "summary": "After a hot inflation report, the Fed could speed up this hiking cycle.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "Nasdaq Markets",
        "title": "The Chances of a Federal Reserve December Rate Hike Are Climbing. Here’s What History Says About Stocks After the Fed Starts Raising Again.",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/11/13/the-chances-of-a-federal-reserve-december-rate-hike-are-climbing-19862918",
        "published": "2026-11-13T20:20:02.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}