{
  "id": 18290475,
  "title": "Bitcoin win rate vs. S&P 500 recovers as post-midterm history favors stocks",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/11/05/bitcoin-win-rate-vs-s-p-500-recovers-as-post-midterm-history-favors",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-11-05T10:28:26.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Cointelegraph",
    "slug": "cointelegraph",
    "url": "https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-win-rate-sp-500-us-midterms-stocks-gains"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Bitcoin's win rate against the S&P 500 has rebounded in recent weeks, as historical patterns suggest stocks tend to perform well following Democratic victories in midterm elections. Glassnode's analysis shows Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500 in 50% of the last 90 trading sessions, marking a turnaround after months of underperformance. This shift comes as Democrats gained control of the Senate and House in the recent midterm elections, a result historically linked to strong stock market returns. Capriole Investments found that Democratic sweeps of Congress under Republican presidents have been followed by an average gain of 10.7% for the S&P 500 over the subsequent three months. Bitcoin's average per-session returns have also been slightly higher than those of the S&P 500 during this period. The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has become more positive, with the 20-day correlation now standing at 0.63, reflecting the positive market sentiment following the election results.",
  "summary": "Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500 in half of the past 90 US trading sessions, while historical midterm data highlights gains for stocks.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}