{
  "id": 18062266,
  "title": "US midterm election results prediction: What betting market, exit polls reveal — Democrats have ‘100% chance of winning’",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/11/04/us-midterm-election-results-prediction-what-betting-market-exit-polls",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-11-04T02:40:31.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Live Mint",
    "slug": "live-mint",
    "url": "https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/us-midterm-election-results-prediction-what-betting-market-exit-polls-reveal-democrats-have-100-chance-of-winning-11793759365937.html"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Democrats are projected to secure control of both the US Senate and the House of Representatives in the upcoming midterm elections. According to Kalshi traders, there is a 100% chance of Democrats winning in the Senate and a 100% chance of them taking the House as well. The races were closely contested, with Democrats needing a net gain of four seats in the Senate and three seats in the House to achieve a majority. Kalshi traders identified Texas, Michigan, Maine, South Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, and Kansas as key races that could sway the outcome of the Senate control. In the House, Democrats are favored to win a majority, as they only need a net gain of three seats. The prediction platforms reported a high level of betting activity, with over $1.6 billion wagered on the Midterms.",
  "summary": "With the final votes now being cast and 35 Senate seats on the ballot on November 3, 2026, Kalshi traders gave Democrats a 100% chance of winning control of the US Senate, as of 7:50 am (IST).",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}