{
  "id": 16202451,
  "title": "Elections Are More Predictable than They Look",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/23/elections-are-more-predictable-than-they-look",
  "topic": "science",
  "section": "Science",
  "published": "2026-10-23T16:16:09.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Caltech News",
    "slug": "caltech-news",
    "url": "https://www.caltech.edu/about/news/elections-are-more-predictable-than-they-look"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": null,
  "summary": "As politics in America become more polarized and each voting cycle seems more fraught than the last, a common narrative in the media is that each election is unique and increasingly unpredictable. But new research shows that congressional elections follow strong statistical patterns, even when individual races produce surprises. \"There are a lot of generalities and systematic things happening in…",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}