{
  "id": 16147879,
  "title": "Vietnam could face super typhoon like Yagi every 7 years",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/23/vietnam-could-face-super-typhoon-like-yagi-every-7-years",
  "topic": "world",
  "section": "World",
  "published": "2026-10-23T03:54:03.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "VnExpress International",
    "slug": "vnexpress-international",
    "url": "https://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/environment/vietnam-could-face-super-typhoon-like-yagi-every-7-years-5135656.html"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Vietnam may face super typhoons like Yagi approximately every seven years by the year 2100, according to new climate change scenarios. These projections come from the updated 2025 Climate Change Scenarios, which have been integrated into the National Climate Change Database. The scenarios suggest that the number of hot days could surge by more than 50 by the end of the 21st century, while the number of extreme heat days could increase by around 20. Rainfall patterns are also expected to change, with a 30–40% increase in maximum one-day and five-consecutive-day rainfall in both northern and southern regions. Extreme rainfall events are particularly likely to rise, with some areas potentially seeing an 80-100% increase in days with rainfall exceeding 100mm. The scenarios provide a scientific basis for managing climate change impacts, including the need to strengthen disaster prevention and response capabilities. As global temperatures rise, super typhoons of Yagi's intensity could occur more frequently. Specifically, under a two-degree Celsius warming scenario, Vietnam could expect such a super typhoon once every 13 years on average. This frequency would increase to once every nine years under a three-degree warming scenario and once every seven years under a four-degree warming scenario. In the southern region of Vietnam, super typhoons would be much less frequent, occurring approximately once every 133 years under the four-degree warming scenario. The scenarios also highlight the impact of climate change on urban areas, focusing on Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. They indicate that climate change will exacerbate public health issues, rice production challenges, and infrastructure vulnerabilities. Additionally, climate change is expected to accelerate sea-level rise, with an average rise of 46.1 cm under the low-emissions scenario and as much as 63.7 cm under the high-emissions scenario by 2100. Assoc. Prof. Pham Thi Thanh Nga clarified that climate change scenarios should not be mistaken for weather forecasts or climate predictions. Instead, they are scientifically grounded hypothetical scenarios illustrating possible future climate trends based on socio-economic activities, greenhouse gas emissions, climate change, and sea-level rise.",
  "summary": "Vietnam could face a super typhoon comparable in intensity to Typhoon Yagi, the strongest to strike the country in 70 years in 2024, on average once every seven years if global temperatures rise by four degrees Celsius, according to updated climate change scenarios.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}