{
  "id": 16064607,
  "title": "Market Insight: Will a fifth good stock market year follow on from four successful ones?",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/22/markte-insight-folgt-auf-vier-gute-borsenjahre-auch-noch-ein-funftes",
  "topic": "business",
  "section": "Business",
  "published": "2026-10-22T15:34:17.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Handelsblatt",
    "slug": "handelsblatt",
    "url": "https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/anlagestrategie/kolumnen/aktien-folgt-auf-vier-gute-boersenjahre-auch-noch-ein-fuenftes/100263893.html"
  },
  "original_language": "de",
  "account": "The US stock market is on track for its fourth consecutive positive year, with the S&P 500 index having gained 13% so far. According to Sebastian Dörr, a capital market strategist at HQ Trust, historical data suggests that the probability of a positive year in 2027 is high. Analyzing the S&P 500's performance since 1872, Dörr found that in 73.4% of years, the index closed with a gain, and after four positive years, a fifth positive year followed in 73.7% of cases. The median return in such a fifth positive year was 12.3%. Charles Dow and Isaac Newton's principles of trend continuation also support the likelihood of a sustained positive trend.",
  "summary": "Valuable information on this is provided by the 150-year history of the US stock market, which describes Ulf Sommer, co-founder of the Dow Jones and a famous physicist.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}