{
  "id": 15946333,
  "title": "Prediction: 2026 Will Be the S&P 500's 4th Straight Double-Digit Year",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/21/prediction-2026-will-be-the-s-p-500s-4th-straight-double-digit-year",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-10-21T20:27:02.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Motley Fool",
    "slug": "motley-fool",
    "url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/21/prediction-2026-will-be-the-s-and-p-500-s-4th-straight-double-digit-year/?source=iedfolrf0000001"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "In 2026, the S&P 500 is expected to achieve its fourth consecutive double-digit increase, according to recent projections. From the beginning of the year up to October 6, the index has risen by almost 13%, climbing from 6,845.50 to 7,714. To secure a gain of at least 10%, the index must end the year above approximately 7,530. With roughly 10 weeks remaining in the year, this provides a small but meaningful buffer. Historically, there have only been three other instances where the S&P 500 experienced four consecutive double-digit years, in 1945, 1952, and 1998. The projected increase in 2026 is attributed to the index's strong performance in the fourth quarter, which has historically led to gains 59 out of 76 years since 1950. Additionally, the index has only dropped more than 2.4% in six of those years, all of which were more severe declines. The strong trend of gains at the end of each year has historically set the stage for a fourth consecutive year of double-digit gains, although it is not a guarantee.",
  "summary": "With around 10 weeks left, the index can only afford a slight slip. How often has it slipped that far?",
  "key_points": [
    "S&P 500 projected to achieve fourth consecutive double-digit increase in 2026.",
    "Index rose 13% from start of year to October 6, 2025.",
    "Only three other instances of four consecutive double-digit years in history."
  ],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "Nasdaq Markets",
        "title": "Prediction: 2026 Will Be the S&P 500's 4th Straight Double-Digit Year",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/21/prediction-2026-will-be-the-s-p-500s-4th-straight-double-digit-year-15954501",
        "published": "2026-10-21T20:47:02.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}