{
  "id": 15309696,
  "title": "Prediction: Oracle Stock Trails the S&P 500 Through 2030",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/17/prediction-oracle-stock-trails-the-s-p-500-through-2030",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-10-17T23:46:02.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Motley Fool",
    "slug": "motley-fool",
    "url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/17/prediction-oracle-stock-trails-the-s-and-p-500-through-2030/?source=iedfolrf0000001"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Oracle stock is on track to lag the S&P 500 through 2030, according to a recent prediction. Shares of Oracle (ORCL) are currently near $130, down 60% from their record high of $328.33 in September 2025. While the S&P 500 (^GSPC) has returned about 13% through September, Oracle's stock has fallen by 33% this year. The company is spending more on its AI initiatives than its business brings in, and it expects to continue spending more this fiscal year. Oracle's cloud giant has already spent $55.7 billion on capital expenditures in fiscal 2026, with free cash flow turning negative at $23.7 billion. For the year, management expects capital expenditures to reach between $90 billion and $95 billion, with much of it funded by customer prepayments. Despite this, Oracle still plans to spend around $70 billion this fiscal year. The company's remaining performance obligations, or contracted revenue yet to be recognized, total $664 billion, with only a small portion expected to generate revenue in the next year. Oracle is raising approximately $40 billion in debt and equity this fiscal year, including $20 billion in stock sales and $43 billion in bonds issued previously. While the stock may appear cheap at around 16 times earnings, management projects earnings per share to compound at 28% annually through fiscal 2030. This could keep Oracle's earnings spread over a larger number of shares, potentially making it less favorable than an S&P 500 fund over the long term.",
  "summary": "The cloud giant's stock looks cheap on earnings. So why would an index fund beat it?",
  "key_points": [
    "Oracle stock predicted to trail S&P 500 through 2030",
    "Oracle spends more on AI than it generates in business revenue",
    "Company expects capital expenditures to reach $90-95 billion"
  ],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "Nasdaq Markets",
        "title": "Prediction: Oracle Stock Trails the S&P 500 Through 2030",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/18/prediction-oracle-stock-trails-the-s-p-500-through-2030",
        "published": "2026-10-18T00:06:02.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}