{
  "id": 15156973,
  "title": "History Says Tesla Stock Swings Hard on Earnings. It Has Moved 8% or More After 10 of Its Last 15 Reports.",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/17/history-says-tesla-stock-swings-hard-on-earnings-it-has-moved-8-or",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-10-17T08:29:01.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Motley Fool",
    "slug": "motley-fool",
    "url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/17/history-says-tesla-stock-swings-hard-on-earnings-it-has-moved-8-or-more-after-10-of-its-last-15-reports/?source=iedfolrf0000001"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Since the start of 2023, Tesla's quarterly reports have resulted in a stock move of 8% or more after 10 out of 15 reports. The average move has been around 9%, with shares trading near $368. Out of these 10 significant moves, nine were drops, including the past three reports. Tesla's operating margin declined from 16% in Q4 2022 to 7.6% in Q2 2025, showing a negative trend. A lower margin led to a drop in shares by approximately 9% or more during each report. However, in 2024, the trend switched, with a 12% drop after the January report followed by a 12% gain in April, a 12% drop in July, and a 22% gain in October, the largest move of the period. The common factor in these large swings is operating income, or profit before interest and taxes. Out of the seven significant declines, all followed a quarter with falling year-over-year operating income. Conversely, two of the three significant gains followed an increase in operating income. Tesla's stock has not seen a significant decline without lower profits, and a drop in profits doesn't always lead to a substantial drop. The stock's valuation, trading at around 340 times its earnings, suggests that the price is heavily dependent on future profits. For the October report, Tesla's third-quarter operating income needs to be over four times the second quarter's amount to avoid another drop. However, a positive report that brings a product timeline closer could also significantly impact the stock, as seen in April 2024.",
  "summary": "Seven of the 10 big moves were declines. Can the electric-car maker's next report break the pattern?",
  "key_points": [
    "Tesla's stock moves 8% or more after 10 of last 15 earnings reports",
    "Operating margin declined from 16% to 7.6%, causing profit-related drops",
    "Large swings tied to operating income, with declines following falling income"
  ],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "Nasdaq Markets",
        "title": "History Says Tesla Stock Swings Hard on Earnings. It Has Moved 8% or More After 10 of Its Last 15 Reports.",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/17/history-says-tesla-stock-swings-hard-on-earnings-it-has-moved-8-or-15164592",
        "published": "2026-10-17T08:49:01.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}