{
  "id": 15082855,
  "title": "Economy: Report – IW sees rising growth potential for the German economy from 2030",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/17/konjunktur-bericht-iw-sieht-steigendes-wachstumspotenzial-der",
  "topic": "business",
  "section": "Business",
  "published": "2026-10-17T00:52:31.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Handelsblatt",
    "slug": "handelsblatt",
    "url": "https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/konjunktur-bericht-iw-sieht-steigendes-wachstumspotenzial-der-deutschen-wirtschaft-ab-2030/100262926.html"
  },
  "original_language": "de",
  "account": "Germany's economy is expected to grow significantly faster in the next decade than in the current one, according to the IW Institute. The growth potential is forecast to accelerate to 0.7% per year between 2030 and 2040, up from 0.3% in the current decade. The institute attributes the increase to digitalization, artificial intelligence, and rising capital investment, which are expected to boost productivity and efficiency. However, the growth contribution from labor is expected to be slightly negative due to a decline in the working-age population, which is projected to decrease by 7.7% to 50.8 million by 2040.",
  "summary": "Investments are intended to give the German economy a long-term boost. However, the demographic change is slowing down growth because fewer people will be of working age.",
  "key_points": [
    "Deutsche Wirtschaft to grow 0.7% annually from 2030 to 2040",
    "Digital transformation and AI boost productivity by 0.5 percentage points",
    "Increased capital investment and climate goals contribute 0.5 percentage points"
  ],
  "editors_take": "Digitalization and climate-related investments offer a path to overcome stagnation, provided Germany can offset the looming productivity drag caused by a shrinking working-age population.",
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}