{
  "id": 14144334,
  "title": "IMF sees Pakistan's inflation rising to 9.9% in 2027 as growth slows",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/13/imf-sees-pakistans-inflation-rising-to-9-9-in-2027-as-growth-slows",
  "topic": "finance",
  "section": "Finance & Markets",
  "published": "2026-10-13T06:56:19.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Business Recorder",
    "slug": "business-recorder",
    "url": "https://www.brecorder.com/news/40443980/imf-sees-pakistans-inflation-rising-to-99-in-2027-as-growth-slows"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects Pakistan's inflation rate to reach 9.9% by 2027, while its economic growth is expected to decelerate to 3.5%, according to the IMF's World Economic Outlook (WEO) report. In 2026, inflation stood at 7.1%, an increase from 4.5% in 2025. The country's GDP growth is forecast to be 3.6% in 2026, down from 3.2% the previous year, and is projected to further ease to 3.5% in 2027.\n\nPakistan's current account balance is expected to remain stable in 2026 before turning into a deficit equivalent to 1% of GDP in 2027, compared to a surplus of 0.5% of GDP in 2025. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is anticipated to decline from 7.1% in 2025 to 6.9% in 2026 and 6.5% in 2027.\n\nGlobal growth is projected to slow to 3.1% in 2026, with a rebound to 3.4% in 2027. Global headline inflation is expected to rise to 4.7% in 2026 before easing to 4.1% in 2027. The IMF's report highlights that the global economy remains resilient but uneven, with rapidly narrowing adjustment margins in the near term.\n\nThe report attributes the split global economy to the interplay of geopolitical tensions and technological advancements, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI). Favorable terms of trade or technology-driven exports and investments provide some countries with a cushion, while others face higher import bills and weaker demand. Economies have managed to weather negative shocks due to flexible supply responses, rerouting of shipments, inventory drawdowns, fiscal support measures, and lower energy intensity compared to previous decades.\n\nHowever, the IMF warns that the resilience margins are not limitless. Risks such as further escalation of conflicts, reassessment of AI expectations, renewed trade tensions, and fiscal vulnerabilities could weaken growth. On the positive side, stronger AI investment momentum and productivity gains from AI or sustained easing of geopolitical and trade tensions could bolster growth.",
  "summary": "Pakistan’s inflation rate is projected to rise to 9.9% in 2027, while economic growth is expected to ease to 3.5%, according to data released by the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook (WEO) released on Tuesday. The IMF data showed inflation at 7.1% in 2026, up from 4.5% in 2025. Pakistan’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is projected at 3.6% in 2026, compared with 3.2%…",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 4,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "MyJoyOnline Ghana",
        "title": "IMF raises Ghana’s 2026 growth forecast to 5.7%, sees inflation falling to 4.8%",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/13/imf-raises-ghanas-2026-growth-forecast-to-5-7-sees-inflation-falling",
        "published": "2026-10-13T05:37:26.000Z"
      },
      {
        "outlet": "Adom Online",
        "title": "IMF raises Ghana’s 2026 growth forecast to 5.7%, sees inflation falling to 4.8%",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/13/imf-raises-ghanas-2026-growth-forecast-to-5-7-sees-inflation-falling-14138719",
        "published": "2026-10-13T06:38:24.000Z"
      },
      {
        "outlet": "BusinessDay Nigeria",
        "title": "IMF sees Nigeria’s growth rising to 4.3% in 2027 as inflation eases",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/13/imf-sees-nigerias-growth-rising-to-4-3-in-2027-as-inflation-eases",
        "published": "2026-10-13T08:31:41.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}