{
  "id": 12771646,
  "title": "Politics with Michelle Grattan: why Victoria’s unpredictable election matters nationally",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/08/politics-with-michelle-grattan-why-victorias-unpredictable-election",
  "topic": "world",
  "section": "World",
  "published": "2026-10-08T02:24:31.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "The Conversation AU",
    "slug": "the-conversation-au",
    "url": "https://theconversation.com/politics-with-michelle-grattan-why-victorias-unpredictable-election-matters-nationally-293700"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "The Victorian election is approaching on November 28, and Labor is attempting an unprecedented feat – winning its fourth consecutive term after 12 years in power. However, Victoria's Premier, Ben Carroll, who took office in July through a third leadership change, wonders if it's too late for Labor to secure a victory. The result of the election is capturing national attention, serving as a gauge of One Nation's strength. Polling firm Redbridge's Tony Barry notes that there's a strong desire for change in Victoria, with 75% of respondents believing the state is moving in the wrong direction. Despite a leadership change from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll, there has been no improvement in Labor's vote share. Allan's personal favorability rating is a net -42, which Barry describes as \"catastrophic.\" While Labor can afford to lose 11 seats and still maintain a majority government, the opposition will face a significant task in picking up 16 seats to secure a majority.",
  "summary": "Premier Ben Carroll, Opposition Leader Jess Wilson, One Nation’s Colleen Harkin and pollster Tony Barry preview November 28’s closely watched election.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}