{
  "id": 12588810,
  "title": "Exportprognose: Verband rechnet mit stärker steigenden Ausfuhren",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/07/exportprognose-verband-rechnet-mit-starker-steigenden-ausfuhren",
  "topic": "business",
  "section": "Business",
  "published": "2026-10-07T08:49:40.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Handelsblatt",
    "slug": "handelsblatt",
    "url": "https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/exportprognose-verband-rechnet-mit-staerker-steigenden-ausfuhren/100260367.html"
  },
  "original_language": "de",
  "account": "German companies are expected to sell more goods abroad this year, despite geopolitical turbulence, according to the German Handels Association BGA. BGA President Dirk Jandura announced a projected export volume of €1.580 billion for 2026, which is 1% higher than the previous year. This represents a slight increase from the previous forecast of 0.6% growth. In the first half of the year, German companies exported goods worth €817.8 billion, a 4% increase from the same period last year. However, the strong economy is not enough to overcome the current turmoil. Imports are projected to grow faster than exports, with BGA forecasting a €177 billion export surplus in 2026, up from around €200 billion the previous year. The association also highlighted that the foreign trade with the US and China is challenging. US exports decreased by 6.1% in the first six months of the year, while exports to China only increased by 19% in July. Jandura emphasized that foreign trade must survive in an extremely volatile environment. More Chinese imports were recorded in the first six months of the year, growing by 8.8%. The BGA suggests that Germany should look for new markets and more reliable trade partners due to the uncertainties surrounding the major export markets. The European Union and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) countries might form the core of a potential trade alliance. These CPTPP countries include Australia, Japan, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Peru, and Singapore.",
  "summary": "Der BGA hebt seine Exportprognose für 2026 leicht an. Ein Signal der Entspannung? Der Verband warnt vor weiter schwierigen Bedingungen in wichtigen Auslandsmärkten.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}