{
  "id": 11203785,
  "title": "Lula Leads Flavio Bolsonaro by Five Points in Latest Brazil Poll",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/10/01/lula-leads-flavio-bolsonaro-by-five-points-in-latest-brazil-poll",
  "topic": "world",
  "section": "World",
  "published": "2026-10-01T13:38:15.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Colombia One",
    "slug": "colombia-one",
    "url": "https://colombiaone.com/2026/10/01/lula-leads-flavio-bolsonaro-latest-brazil-poll/"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva currently leads Senator Flávio Bolsonaro by five percentage points in a recent Quaest poll for the 2026 presidential election, according to the latest release on September 28. In the first round, Lula has 39% of voting intentions, while Flávio Bolsonaro stands at 34%. The survey indicates Lula's lead has increased from four percentage points to five, up from the previous Quaest survey conducted on September 21.\n\nLula's support increased by two points from the previous survey, whereas Flávio Bolsonaro gained one percentage point. Among other candidates tested, Augusto Cury's support fell from 6% to 4%, while former Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado remained constant at 4%. Renan Santos stayed at 3%, and former Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema remained at 1%. The share of undecided voters decreased from 8% to 5%, a three-percentage-point decline. Similarly, the group that expressed they would vote blank, cast a null ballot, or not vote declined from 10% to 7%.\n\nIn a hypothetical runoff simulation between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, both candidates receive 42% in the latest survey, a two-point increase for Lula and maintaining the same level for Flávio Bolsonaro. The 42% tie in the runoff simulation contrasts with the 41% for Lula and 42% for Flávio Bolsonaro in the previous survey. The margin of error is two percentage points, with a 95% confidence level.",
  "summary": "Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flávio Bolsonaro by five percentage points in the latest Quaest poll for Brazil’s 2026 presidential election, while the two candidates are tied at 42% in a simulated runoff. The survey, released Sept. 28, gives Lula 39% of voting intentions in the first round and Flávio Bolsonaro […]",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 1,
    "also_reported_by": []
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}