{
  "id": 10686004,
  "title": "ESPN predicts the remainder of FSU's schedule after Week 4",
  "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/29/espn-predicts-the-remainder-of-fsus-schedule-after-week-4",
  "topic": "culture",
  "section": "Culture",
  "published": "2026-09-29T12:03:28.000Z",
  "source": {
    "name": "Yahoo Sports",
    "slug": "yahoo-sports",
    "url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/espn-predicts-remainder-fsus-schedule-120328240.html"
  },
  "original_language": "en",
  "account": "The Florida State Seminoles bounced back from their Week 4 loss with a 34-7 victory against Central Arkansas, leaving ESPN analysts concerned about their remaining schedule. The Seminoles advanced to 2-2 after that nonconference tune-up. ESPN's updated Matchup Predictor favors Florida State in just three of their eight remaining games: Clemson, Boston College, and NC State. The model assigns less than a 50% chance of victory in the Seminoles' matchups against Virginia, Louisville, Miami, Pittsburgh, and Florida. Here's ESPN's current outlook on the Seminoles' 2026 schedule:\n\n- Against Virginia on October 3, ESPN projects Virginia to win with a 41.6% chance of victory. FSU's projected record after this game is 2-3.\n- On October 9, Florida State is the underdog against Louisville, with a 30.7% chance of winning. The Seminoles would finish the month with a 2-4 record.\n- A week later, on October 17, ESPN sees Miami as the favorite with a 5.9% chance of beating FSU. This game would leave FSU with a 2-5 record.\n- On October 31, Florida State does have the edge against Clemson, with a 57.6% chance of winning. This would give FSU a 3-5 record.\n- In a November 7 matchup, FSU holds a 73.9% chance of victory over Boston College, making it the only remaining ACC game where FSU is currently favored.\n- Six days later, on November 13, Pittsburgh is projected to win against Florida State, with just a 21.2% chance of victory. This would result in a 4-6 record for FSU.\n- By November 21, Florida State returns home to face NC State, with a 68.2% chance of winning. This game could have significant postseason implications if FSU reaches a .500 record.\n- Lastly, on November 27, Florida is projected to beat FSU with a 21.0% chance of victory. This would leave FSU with a 5-7 record heading into the final week of the season.",
  "summary": "ESPN’s Matchup Predictor favors Florida State in only three of its final eight games, projecting them to miss a bowl game.",
  "key_points": [],
  "editors_take": null,
  "illustration": null,
  "coverage": {
    "outlets": 2,
    "also_reported_by": [
      {
        "outlet": "Yahoo Sports",
        "title": "ESPN predicts final score of FSU vs. Virginia in Week 5",
        "url": "https://urgent.news/2026/09/29/espn-predicts-final-score-of-fsu-vs-virginia-in-week-5",
        "published": "2026-09-29T11:31:05.000Z"
      }
    ]
  },
  "ai_generated": true,
  "disclaimer": "Summaries, key points and the editor’s take are written by software from other outlets’ reporting and may contain errors — always check the linked original."
}